- MEMO:
- 007
- TO:
- All readers
- FROM:
- dumbGTM
- DATE:
- Oct 10, 2026
- RE:
- Stage 4 of 4: Boring
Is SEO dead in 2026? A short answer and a longer one
Short answer: no. Google still handles most searches, search volume is still growing, and Google’s AI answers are built from pages that rank. What is shrinking is the number of clicks you get from a ranking, especially for simple questions that AI now answers right on the results page. The part that’s fading is the old habit of ranking a definition page and collecting the traffic.
The longer answer: what the data says
People have been declaring SEO dead for a long time, which is why the take itself sits firmly in the Boring stage. Here’s what has and hasn’t changed.
Search is still big and still growing.
- Google had 73.7% of US desktop searches in Q4 2025, according to SparkToro and Datos’ analysis of 41 sites with search activity. ChatGPT had about 2.9%, behind Amazon, Bing and YouTube. (This is desktop panel data only.)
- Alphabet’s search revenue was $63.3 billion in Q2 2026, up 17% from a year earlier, and CEO Sundar Pichai said AI features are “driving Search query growth.”
- ChatGPT is growing fast, with 900 million weekly active users reported in February 2026. A lot of that usage is writing, coding and chatting, though, not looking things up.
But each search sends fewer clicks.
- In 2024, 58.5% of US Google searches ended without a click to any website, according to SparkToro’s zero-click study.
- Pew Research tracked real Google searches in March 2025. When an AI summary appeared, people clicked a regular result on 8% of visits, versus 15% when there wasn’t one.
- Ahrefs looked at 300,000 keywords. For queries that show an AI Overview, the top result’s click-through rate went from about 7.3% in December 2023 to 1.6% in December 2025. Ahrefs reports this as a 58% drop compared with what it would have been without AI Overviews. The 7.3% to 1.6% figures are the clearer way to read it.
What’s dying and what isn’t
| Type of SEO | Status in 2026 | Why |
|---|---|---|
| “What is X” and definition pages | Struggling | AI Overviews answer these on the results page |
| Generic how-to content | Struggling | Same reason, and AI tools write this content cheaply |
| Product, pricing and comparison pages | Healthy | People still click to decide before they buy |
| Local search | Healthy | “Near me” searches lead to calls, visits and bookings |
| Original data, research and tools | Healthy | AI answers cite them, and people click to see the details |
| Opinion and expertise | Healthy | An AI summary can’t replace a specific person’s take |
| Technical SEO basics | Required | AI features use pages that are indexed and eligible to rank |
The pattern: if your page can be fully replaced by a three-sentence summary, AI will do that and the click goes away. If someone needs to see the page itself to make a decision or get something done, SEO still works.
Why SEO matters for AI search too
Google’s guidance for AI Overviews and AI Mode says there are no special optimizations needed beyond normal SEO, and that pages have to be indexed and eligible to appear with a snippet to be used. So the people saying “forget SEO, do AEO” have it backwards. AI search runs on the same foundation. We cover the differences in AEO vs SEO vs GEO.
What to do instead of panicking
- Check where your traffic comes from. In Google Search Console, sort pages by clicks over the last 16 months. If informational pages are falling while product and comparison pages hold steady, you’re seeing the pattern above.
- Move effort to pages that lead to a decision. Comparisons, pricing, alternatives, use cases and local pages.
- Publish things AI can’t summarize away. Original numbers, tools, templates and real opinions.
- Write so you get quoted. Put a direct answer at the top of each page and cite your sources, so AI answers can use you even when nobody clicks.
- Measure more than clicks. Track whether you’re mentioned in AI answers for the questions your buyers ask.
So is SEO dead? No. The cheap version that ranked thin articles for easy questions is fading. The version that helps people make decisions, and gets you cited by AI tools along the way, is still worth doing.
Frequently asked questions
Is SEO dead in 2026?
No. Google held about 74% of US desktop searches in late 2025 according to SparkToro and Datos, Alphabet's search revenue grew 17% year over year in Q2 2026, and Google says its AI features are driving search query growth. What has changed is that each ranking brings fewer clicks, especially for simple informational questions that AI Overviews now answer directly on the results page.
Is SEO dead because of AI?
AI is changing SEO more than ending it. Google's AI Overviews and AI Mode use pages that are indexed and eligible to rank, so traditional SEO is still how you get into AI answers. But AI summaries reduce clicks: Pew Research found users clicked a result on 8% of visits when an AI summary appeared versus 15% without one, and Ahrefs measured the top result's click-through rate on AI Overview queries falling from about 7.3% to 1.6% between December 2023 and December 2025.
Is ChatGPT replacing Google search?
Not yet. In SparkToro and Datos' analysis of 2025 desktop search behavior, Google had 73.7% of US desktop searches and ChatGPT had about 2.9%. ChatGPT is growing quickly, with 900 million weekly active users reported in February 2026, but most of those conversations are not replacing a Google search.
Is SEO still worth it for small businesses?
Usually yes, especially for local searches, product and service searches, and comparisons, where people still click through to decide. It is less worth it for generic how-to and definition content, where AI answers on the results page now satisfy many searchers without a click.
What kind of SEO still works in 2026?
Pages that target searches with commercial or local intent, comparison and pricing pages, original data and research, tools and templates, and expert opinion that an AI summary can't replace. The foundations are unchanged: crawlable pages, clear titles, useful content and links from other sites.
Sources
- Search happens everywhere: an analysis of 41 websites with significant search activity (via PPC Land)
- Alphabet Q2 2026 earnings release
- Google users are less likely to click on links when an AI summary appears in the results
- Update: AI Overviews reduce clicks by 58%
- Google search zero-click study 2024
- AI features and your website
- ChatGPT reaches 900M weekly active users
End of memo. Please do not reply-all.